The Third Taiwan West Pacific Global Forecast System Planning Workshop

臺灣與西北太平洋氣候預測全球模式發展第3次規劃研討會

中央氣象局310會議室

CWB, Taipei, Taiwan, Jun 3-4, 2015

PROGRAM

June3, Wednesday

Opening Session

Chair: Mark Chia-Ping Cheng程家平, Director, R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

09:00-09:05

Tien-Chiang Yeh葉天降

Deputy Director-General,CWB, Taiwan

Welcome Remarks

09:05-09:15

Mong-Ming Lu 盧孟明

Chief Researcher, CWB, Taiwan

Brief review the 2nd TWPGFS Workshop / Objective of the 3rd TWPGFS Workshop / Invitee (Panel) intro, /Logistic

Keynote Speech

09:15-09:55

David DeWitt

Director, CPC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, USA

State of the Art Short-Term Climate Forecasting: Current Status, Prospects for Improvement, and Remaining Challenges

09:55-10:00

Group Photo

10:00-10:10

Break

Section 1: CWB Global Model Development and Application

Chair: Chin-Tzu Fong馮欽賜, Deputy Director, Meteorological Information Center, CWB, Taiwan

10:10-10:30

Jing-Shan Hong洪景山 

Senior Meteorologist, Meteorological Information Center/CWB, Taiwan

CWB/WRF overview - An example of successful R2O

10:30-10:45

Jen-Her Chen陳建河

Senior Meteorologist, Meteorological Information Center/CWB, Taiwan

CWB/GFS and RSM Overview

10:45-11:00

Jyh-Wen Hwu胡志文

Associate Researcher, R&D Center/ CWB, Taiwan

CWB/Monthly and Seasonal Forecast System and Forecast Skill Evaluation

11:00-11:20

Meng-Shih Chen陳孟詩

Chief, Long-range Weather Forecast Section, Weather Forecast Center/CWB, Taiwan

CWB Long-range Forecast Services

Section 2a: CWB Academic Partners

Chair: Ting-Huai Chang張庭槐, Section Chief, R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

11:20-12:00

Ming-Hsu Li李明旭

Professor, National Central University, Taiwan

Supporting Water Resources Outlooks with Short-Term Climate Forecasting

Yu-Chun Wang王玉純

Associate Professor,Chung Yuan Christian University, Taiwan

Applications of Climate Outlooks on Public Health - Experiences and Challenges

12:00-13:30

Lunch Break

13:30-14:00

Pay-Liam Lin林沛練

Professor, National Central University, Taiwan

Development and Validation of one tier coupling climate model system

14:00-14:30

Li-huan Hsu徐理寰

Project Assistant Researcher,Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, National Applied Research Labs/MOST, Taiwan

The application of MPAS in TTFRI

14:30-15:00

Min-Hui Lo羅敏輝

Assistant Professor,National Taiwan University, Taiwan

Applications of Remote Sensing Dataset on Studies of Biases in Land Surface Model

15:00-15:20

Tea Break

Section 2b:  CWB Academic Partners

Chair: Ming-Dean Cheng 鄭明典, Director, Weather Forecast Center, CWB, Taiwan

Keynote Speech

15:20-16:00

Chung-Hsiung Sui隋中興

Professor, National Taiwan University, Taiwan

Intraseasonal Oscillations (ISO) in Indo-Pacific region

16:00-16:30

Ben-Je Tsuang莊秉潔

Professor,National Chung Hsing University, Taiwan

MJO simulations for four global AGCMs (ECHAM, CCSM, GFDL and CWB GFS) coupled with a one-column ocean model

16:30-17:00

Cheng-Ta Chen陳正達

Professor, National Taiwan Normal University, Taiwan

Are the Extreme Seasonal Drought Conditions Easier to Predict?

17:00-17:50

Weather Briefing and Knowing CWB

18:00

Conference Dinner

June4, Thursday

Keynote Speech

09:10-09:50

Huang-Hsiung Hsu許晃雄

Deputy Director and Research Fellow, Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taiwan

On the extreme circulations in winter 2013-2014: Role of sea surface temperature and sea ice anomalies

09:50-10:30

Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang

Associate Professor,Utah State University, USA

On the interdecadal change and predictive potential of ISO around Taiwan

10:30-10:40

Tea Break

Section 3: Invited presentations from the USA

Chair: Mark Chia-Ping Cheng程家平, Director, R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

10:40-11:20

Arun Kumar

Branch Chief, CPC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, USA

Forecast System Configuration Requirements for Long-Range Predictions

11:20-12:00

Jae Schemm

SeniorScientist ,CPC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, USA

Seasonal and Intraseasonal Tropical Storm Activity Prediction with the NCEP CFSv2

12:00-13:30

Lunch Break

13:30-14:00

Jesse Meng

Meteorologist,I.M. System Group/EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, USA

Applications of the Noah Land Surface Model in Improving the NCEP Operational Forecast and Drought Monitor

14:00-14:30

Yu-Tai Hou

Senior Scientist,EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA

,USA

Improving Model Physics in NCEP GFS towards Next-Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS)

Section 4: Discussion - CWB-NCEP collaborations (中央氣象局311會議室)   

Chair:Tien-Chiang Yeh 葉天降, Deputy Director-General, CWB

14:30-17:30

Round Table Discussion –   

1. CWB global weather and climate forecast model development plan in 2016~2019

2. CWB’s plan of using the GEFS and NMME data sets for weekly and monthly forecasts

3. Review CWB’s participation in CPC’s International Monsoon Desk Training Program and thoughts for 2016

4. Preliminary thoughts about “ 2016 International User Conference of NCEP-CFSv2” in Taipei

5. Others (Any suggestion about enhancing CWB-NCEP-ACADEMIC collaboration is welcome!)

17:30

Workshop closing(Conference Close)

18:00

City Tour