The First Taiwan-West Pacific Global Forecast System Development Workshop

第一屆臺灣與西北太平洋全球預報系統發展研討會

中央氣象局310會議室

CWB, Taipei, Taiwan, May 24-26, 2016

 

PROGRAM

 

May 24, Tuesday

Opening Session

Chair: Chia-Ping (Mark) Cheng程家平, Director, R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

09:00-09:05

Tien-Chiang Yeh葉天降

Deputy Director-General,

CWB, Taiwan

Welcome Remarks

09:05-09:15

Mong-Ming Lu 盧孟明

Chief Researcher,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

Brief review the history of TWPCFS Planning Workshop / Objective of the 1st TWPGFS Development Workshop / Invitee (Panel) intro, /Logistic

Keynote Speech

09:15-10:05

Hendrik Tolman

Director,

EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA,USA

NCEP operational modeling; past present and future

10:05-10:10

Group Photo

10:10-10:20

Tea Break

Section 1: NCEP Global Model

Chair: Henry Juang, Senior Scientist ,EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, USA

Chin-Tzu Fong馮欽賜, Deputy Director, Meteorological Information Center, CWB, Taiwan

10:20-11:10

YueJian Zhu

Ensemble Lead, EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA,USA

The Recent Development of NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)

11:10-12:00

Daryl Kleist

Professor,

UMD, USA

Status and plans for improving hybrid 4D EnVar for the NCEP GFS and potential for coupled

12:00-13:30

Lunch Break

13:30-14:20

Henry Juang 

Senior Scientist ,

EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, USA

Current EMC global model dynamics and beyond

14:20-15:10

Ruiyu Sun

Senior Scientist ,

EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, USA

The current and future Microphysics, PBL, and Convection in NCEP GFS/GSM

15:10-15:20

Tea Break

15:20-16:10

Jesse Meng

Senior Scientist ,

EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, USA

Improving the GFS Land Surface T2m Forecast for the Q3FY16 GDAS/GFS

16:10-17:00

Hyun-Chul Lee

Senior Scientist ,

CPC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, USA

Effects of Ocean Initial Perturbation on ENSO prediction

17:00-17:50

Weather Briefing and Touring  CWB

18:00

Conference Dinner

May 25, Wednesday

Section 2a: CWB Global Forecast Model

Chair: Mong-Ming Lu盧孟明, Chief Researcher, R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

09:10-09:30

Jen-Her Chen 陳建河

Senior Meteorologist, Meteorological Information Center, CWB, Taiwan

Introduction of Global Forecast System of CWB

09:30-09:45

Mei-Yu Chang張美玉

Senior Meteorologist,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

Impact of NCEP Radiation Package in the CWBGFS

09:45-10:00

Feng-Ju Wang汪鳳如

Assistant Researcher,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

Update of model physics in CWB GFS

10:00-10:15

Pei-Hsuan Kuo郭珮萱

Associate Researcher,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

Introduction of one column ocean warm layer model and effects on MJO prediction

10:15-10:30

Deng-Shun Chen陳登舜

Assistant Researcher,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

The Vertical and Scale-dependent Weighting for Ensemble Covariance in Hybrid Data Assimilation System

10:30-10:40

Tea Break

10:40-10:55

Jonq-Gong Chern陳重功

Associate Researcher,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

The Development of CWB GFS-EPS SPP (Statistical Post-Processing)

10:55-11:10

Chien-Han (John) Tseng曾建翰

Senior Meteorologist,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

Introduction of Global Ensemble Typhoon Forecast System of CWB

11:10-11:25

Tzu-Yu Wu吳子榆

Assistant Researcher,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

Introduction of Climate Forecast System 1-Tier model of CWB

11:25-11:40

Yea-Ching Tung童雅卿

Assistant Researcher,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

CWB Coupled GCM Simulations with and without Heat Flux Correction

Section 2b: CWB Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Climate Forecast System

Chair: Jen-Her Chen陳建河, Senior Meteorologist, Meteorological Information Center, CWB, Taiwan

11:40-12:00

Mong-Ming Lu盧孟明

Chief Researcher,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

An overview of the short-range climate operational forecast system at CWB

12:00-13:30

Lunch Break

13:30-13:45

Ching-Teng Lee李清縢

Associate Researcher,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

The forecast skill of the short-range climate operational forecast system at CWB

13:45-14:00

Chih-Hui Shiao蕭志惠

Researcher,

R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

Preliminary Validation of the Dynamically Downscaled Regional Climate Forecast System of CWB

14:00-14:15

Meng-Shih Chen 陳孟詩

Chief, Long-range Weather Forecast Section, Weather Forecast Center, CWB

CWB Long-range Forecast Services

Special Session: KMA Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Climate Monitoring, Forecast and Analysis  

Chair: Ming-Dean Cheng鄭明典, Director, Weather Forecast Center, CWB, Taiwan

14:15-14:55

Byoung-kwon Park

Deputy Director,

Climate Prediction Division, KMA, KOR

Long range forecast services in KMA and Introduction of Joint Seasonal Forecasting System

14:55-15:15      Tea Break

Section 3: Discussion - CWB-NCEP collaborations  

Chia-Ping (Mark) Cheng程家平, Director, R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan ----R311

15:15-17:30

Round Table Discussion –

Ÿ CWB global weather and climate forecast model development plan in 2016~2019

Ÿ CWB’s plan of using the GEFS and NMME data sets for weekly and monthly forecasts

Ÿ Review CWB’s participation in CPC’s International Monsoon Desk Training Program and thoughts for 2016

Ÿ Thoughts about 2017 TWPGFS Workshop

Ÿ Others (Any suggestion about enhancing CWB-NCEP-ACADEMIC collaboration is welcome!)

18:00

City Tour

May 26, Thursday

Section 4a: Global Weather and Climate Modelling and Forecast

Chair: Chia-Ping (Mark) Cheng程家平, Director, R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

Keynote Speech

09:10-09:40

Hendrik Tolman

Director, EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, USA

Wave modeling at NCEP: WAVEWATCH III and community wave modeling

09:40-10:00

Ying-Hwa (Bill) Kuo

Director,

Developmental Testbed Center, Senior Scientist,

Mesoscale Prediction Group, NCAR/MMM,USA

Development of a Community Common Physics Package in support of the Next-General Global Prediction System

10:00-10:20

Hung-Chi Kuo郭鴻基

Professor,

National Taiwan University, Taiwan

The long-lived concentric eyewall tropical cyclones with large moat and outer eyewall

10:20-10:30

Tea Break

10:30-10:50

Huang-Hsiung Hsu許晃雄

Deputy Director and Research Fellow,

Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taiwan

Simulating and projecting tropical cyclone activities using HiRAM

10:50-11:10

Chia-Ying Tu杜佳穎

Assistant Research Specialist,

Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia, Taiwan

Preliminary Evaluation of High-Resolution GCM Coupled 1-D Ocean Model for MJO Forecast During DYNAMO Period

11:10-11:30

Li-Huan Hsu徐理寰

Project Assistant Researcher,

Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, National Applied Research Labs/MOST, Taiwan

Evaluation of MPAS forecast performance in TTFRI

11:30-11:50

Jui-Lin (Frank) Li

Doctor,

Jet Propulsion Laboratory,

NASA,USA 

Quantification of Systematic Biases of Cloud-Radiation and their Impacts on Global climate Models using Satellite Observations

11:50-12:10

Chian-Yi Liu劉千義

Professor,

National central university, Taiwan

Assessment of the NWP Model Physical Fields from Radiative Quantity

12:00-13:30

Lunch Break

Section 4b: Global Weather and Climate Analysis

Chair: Ting-Huai Chang張庭槐, Section Chief, R&D Center, CWB, Taiwan

13:30-13:50

Chung-Hsiung Sui隋中興

Professor,

National Taiwan University, Taiwan

Interannual Oscillations in the tropical Pacific climate system

13:50-14:10

Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang

Associate Professor,

Utah State University, USA

Polar Express: From the Missouri Flood in December 2015 to the Taiwan Snowfall in January 2016

14:10-14:30

Min-Hui Lo羅敏輝

Professor,

National Taiwan University, Taiwan

Applications of Remote Sensing Dataset on Studies of Biases in Land Surface Models

14:30-17:40

Breakout discussion meetings

Group 1: Marine meteorology forecast ----R617

Group 2: Global weather and climate forecast model development

----R311R319R501

17:40

Workshop closing

18:00

City Tour

 

 

Section 5: Marine Meteorology Forecast  ----R617

Chair: Chuen-teyr Terng 滕春慈, Director, Marine Meteorology Center, CWB, Taiwan

14:30-14:40

Chi-Hao Chu 朱啟豪

Senior Meteorologist,

Marine Meteorology Center, CWB, Taiwan

Observation, forecasting and service of Marine Meteorology Center at Central Weather Bureau

14:40-14:50

Heng-Wen Chang 張恆文

Researcher,

Green Energy and Environment Research Laboratories, Industrial Technology Research Institute, Taiwan

Wave ensemble system in CWB

14:50-15:00

Yang-Ming Fan范揚洺

Leader of R&D Department, Coastal ocean monitoring center National cheng kung university, Taiwan

Optimization of multi-model ensemble forecasting of typhoon waves

15:00-15:10

Yu-Lin Tsai 蔡育霖

PhD student,

Research Graduate Institute of Hydrological and Oceanic Science, National Central University, Taiwan

Simulation of Storm Surge by a Depth-integrated Non-hydrostatic Nested-gird Model

15:10-15:20

Hao-Cheng Yu尤皓正

Postdoc,

National Sun Yat-Sen University, Taiwan

A regional ocean current forecast operational system (ROCFORS) for the seas around Taiwan.

15:20-15:30

Tea Break

15:30-16:30

Wave simulation team, MMC

Technical discussion

16:30-17:30

Surge and current simulation team,

MMC

Technical discussion

17:30-17:40

Panel Discussion